‘This a political, not a scientific document’
August 9, 2021
“Last week, the IPCC admitted the newest climate models they used in their report are flawed, running unrealistically hot. Yet, rather than delaying their report, they released it based on unbelievable inputs. How can the IPCC claim to have ‘high confidence’ that the warming of the past 50, 100, or 150 years is unusual, much less unequivocally caused by humans, when the models used to source the claim don’t track observed temperature data sets from weather balloons or satellites? The answer is, they can’t. This a political, not a scientific document.
“It’s like a doctor notifying a patient that his or her X-rays and lab tests were flawed and need to be done again with better equipment, which doesn’t exist. But in the meantime, we can say with ‘high confidence’ you are getting sicker, and are going to die, unless we do major surgery to remove a key organ vital to continued survival, which is what fossil fuels are.”
Sterling Burnett, Ph.D.
Senior Fellow, Environment & Energy Policy The Heartland Institute
Managing Editor, Environment & Climate News
“The new IPCC report is nothing new. If you track the history of UN climate statements all the way back to 1972, Maurice Strong, first UN Environment Program director warned that “the world had just 10 years to avoid catastrophe” and he was speaking of global cooling then. When the alarm switched to global warming, similar gloomy statements were made by the UN in 1982, 1989, 1990, 2007, 2015, and in 2018. An example: “If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late,” said former IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri in 2007.
It seems that climate disaster is always just five to10 years away, but none of the predictions of climate doom have yet to come true. The “before it is too late” claim has come and gone, many times.
And just last week, climate scientists admitted that their new AR6 generation of global climate models such as RCP8.5 are ‘implausibly hot’ and therefore incorrectly predicting a hellishly hot future. Their admission raises questions on the reliability of IPCC temperature forecasts often touted in the media and used to promote extreme climate action.
The Heartland Institute
ARLINGTON HEIGHTS, IL (August 9, 2021) – The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released its Sixth Assessment Report today, stating that it is now ‘code red for humanity,’ with temperatures expected to increase by 1.5C over the next 20 years regardless of what humans do to try to stop it.
The Heartland Institute is the leading global think tank promoting the work of scientists who say the data do not show human activity is causing a climate crisis. Heartland will be hosting many of those scientists and policy experts at the 14th International Conference on Climate Change Oct. 15-17 at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas.
“The new IPCC report, in which the IPCC bureaucracy must strike an alarmist tone in order to justify and perpetuate the bureaucracy’s existence, adds virtually no substantive scientific evidence to the global warming debate. The objective data still show that global temperatures are rising much more slowly than the IPCC previously predicted, and that most extreme weather events and climatological factors are either not being impacted by modest warming or are becoming more benign rather than harmful.
“IPCC may be ramping up its rhetoric and fear-mongering, but this merely highlights the lack of any new scientific evidence to resuscitate the climate alarmism narrative.”
The Heartland Institute
Canadian Climate Expert says British Columbia Heat Wave Not Caused by Global Warming
by Cornwall Alliance
July 21, 2021
Guest author Isacc Teo
As the intense heat wave in the western provinces eases its grip, a former Environment Canada research scientist says that this weather event, while unusual, was caused by natural climate variability and is comparable to heat waves that occurred in the 1920s and 30s.
“This heat wave was exceptional, but it does not indicate any serious climate change issue,” Madhav Khandekar, an extreme weather expert, told The Epoch Times. “I think it is part of natural climate variability that we Canadians seem to forget.”
At the height of the heat wave, the village of Lytton in B.C. set a Canadian record of 49.6 degrees Celsius on June 29. On July 2, B.C.’s chief coroner Lisa Lapointe said 719 sudden and unexpected deaths have been reported over a seven-day period, noting that the severe weather was a significant contributing factor.
Seattle, Portland, and some other U.S. cities also broke heat records, with temperatures in some places reaching above 46 Celsius.
While some environmentalists and climate scientists claim that human-caused climate change is behind such extreme weather events, Khandekar doesn’t agree.
“Are these due to global warming or what’s called human CO2 emissions? The answer is no,” he said.
“For example, during the 1930s, often known as the ‘dust bowl’ years of North America, there were serious heat waves, and the highest temperature in Canada was recorded in a small town in Saskatchewan in July 1937: the temperature of 45 degrees [Celsius],” he said.
“In July 1936, for about 10 days, Toronto, where I live right now, recorded the highest temperature of 41 degrees Celsius without any humidity correction for three days in a row. That produced the deadliest heat wave in Canada, where over 1,100 people died, unfortunately, mostly because of dehydration and lack of air conditioning.”
He also said Canada and other parts of the world regularly experience extreme cold temperatures as well, such as in the winter of 2018 when an “extreme cold warning” was issued for most of New Brunswick. He questions why some seize on extreme high-temperature events as proof of global warming but ignore the extreme cold events, which he says are all part of natural climate variations.
Khandekar said that there is no direct relationship between CO2 emissions and change in climate, and that climate is mainly governed by solar variability.
“It is important to know that, soon after World War II, human CO2 emissions started to rise worldwide because of a lot of industrial activity after the war. Interestingly, there was a global cooling from about 1947 to almost about 1977–79 … of the global mean temperature by almost about one-quarter of a degree,” he said.
In a 2013 research paper titled “Are Extreme Weather Events on the Rise?” Khandekar presented his findings that the global mean temperature did indeed rise after 1977 until it reached its “maximum in 1998 and remained more or less stationary thereafter.” However, in 2002 it started to drop again.
“During January–February 2012, temperatures plunging locally in eastern and central Europe to -40 degrees celsius, [led]to several hundred deaths in Eastern Europe. The severity of winter 2002–03 was felt as far south as in Vietnam & Bangladesh, where several hundred people died of long exposure to cold weather,” the paper said, adding that significantly colder and snowier winters were also observed in North America in 2002–03, 2007–08, and 2009–10.
Many regions in South America also witnessed colder winters between 2008 and 2013, the paper noted. For example, some locations in Argentina recorded temperatures as low as -25 Celsius, with snow falling in Buenos Aires in July 2007—the first time the city had seen snow since 1918.
Khandekar said the mean temperature patterns over South America and Australia today are getting much colder than normal, with frost and snow occurring in southern Brazil.
Around June 28, countries such as Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay, Bolivia, and Brazil were reported to be suffering “extreme and unprecedented cold weather outbreaks, with historic snowfall across some regions,” according to the online resource Severe Weather Europe. “A large region of the continent was experiencing temperatures over 15 °C colder than normal.”
In contrast to global warming, Khandekar believes the sun is going to enter the “solar grand minimum” in the near future, which means “we are heading for a colder climate in the next 10 to 20 years.”
He adds that it is important for Canadians to have access to global mean temperature data in order to understand the full picture of climate issues.
“If more Canadians see these mean temperature trends, then they will understand that climate change is very complex. CO2 concentration may increase, but that is not leading to warming, constant warming, of the Earth’s climate.”
This article was originally published on the Epoch Times.
Dr. Madhav Khandekar
- Ph.D., Meteorology, Florida State University.
- M.Sc., Meteorology, Florida State University.
- M.Sc., Statistics, Pune University (India).
- B.Sc., Mathematics.
- B.Sc., Physics.
Madhav Khandekar is a retired Environment Canada scientist